S&P 500 Index | |||
---|---|---|---|
Long Term (LT) |
DEFENSIVE
(SINCE: Sep-21) STABLE last checked on Nov-24 |
||
We remain defensive amid economic slowdown Overall Situation 1 .Exit-Conditions (OR): Stop Limit Breach Change of Overall Situation Outlook to or . |
|||
Mid Term (MT) |
SHORT
(SINCE: Jan-26)
STABLE last checked on Jan-26 |
||
Entry-Conditions (AND): Pivotal Week Anticipating Negative Surprise ST Reversal/Sell Signal |
|||
Short Term (ST) |
SHORT
(SINCE: Jan-26)
STABLE last checked on Jan-26 |
||
Entry-Conditions (AND): Pivotal Week Anticipating Negative Surprise ID Reversal/Sell Signal |
LT | MT | ST | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
S&P 500 Index | ||||
Position | ||||
Entry | Date Level |
Sep-21 @ 4448 |
Jan-26 @ 4920 |
Jan-26 @ 4920 |
Target | Risk/Ret Level Date |
-0.1 : 1 3800 Jun-30 |
2.1 : 1 4600 Mar-31 |
2.1:1 4600 Mar-02 |
Exit | Stop Assmt |
None Stable Assumps Still Valid |
5070 Review |
5070 Review |
MT | ST | ||
---|---|---|---|
S&P 500 Index | |||
Pattern | Falling Opening Wedge | Rising Flag | |
Indicators | |||
Directionality |
-4
|
||
Trend |
-5
|
||
Momentum |
-5
|
||
Rel Strength |
-1
|
||
Internals | |||
OnBalance Vol |
1
|
3
|
|
Adv / Decl |
0
|
7
|
|
Accu / Dist |
1
|
5
|
|
Support | 4360 |
4415
4360 |
|
Resistance |
4615
4635 |
4600
4615 |
|
Correlations | |||
10Y TN |
0
|
||
USDJPY |
0
|
||
Crude Oil |
0
|
||
Copper |
0
|
Weekly Outlook & Perspective |
iCal |
EST | Event | Rel | Forecasts & Impact | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Allday | |||||
Israel vs Hamas |
|||||
Apr-23 | |||||
Coca Cola (KO)Coca Cola (KO)
(Q1-2024) |
Exp: 0.71
Cons: 0.696598
|
||||
09:45 AM |
PMI ManufactPMI Manufacturing
(Apr 24) |
Exp: 49.1
Cons: 49.9
|
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PMI ServicesPMI Services
(Apr 24) |
Exp: 50.1
Cons: 50.4
|
||||
10:00 AM |
New Home SalesNew Home Sales
(Mär 24) |
Exp: -1.7
Cons: -1.2
|
|||
Richmont Mfct IdxRichmond Manufacturing Index
(Apr 24) |
Exp: -9.3
Cons: -6.4
|
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Microsoft (MSFT)Microsoft (MSFT)
(Q1-2024) |
Exp: 2.73
Cons: 2.81132
|
||||
Alphabet (GOOG)Alphabet (GOOG)
(Q1-2024) |
Exp: 1.59
Cons: 1.505998
|
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Apr-24 | |||||
08:30 AM |
Durable GoodsDurable Goods
(Mär 24) |
Exp: 0.1
Cons: 0.2
|
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Facebook (META)Facebook (META)
(Q1-2024) |
Exp: 3.72
Cons: 4.241384
|
||||
Apr-25 | |||||
08:30 AM |
GDPGDP
(Q1-2024) |
Exp: 1.3
Cons: 2.4
|
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10:00 AM |
Pending Home SalesPending Home Sales
(Mär 24) |
Exp: -1.7
Cons: -1.2
|
|||
Amazon (AMZN)Amazon (AMZN)
(Q1-2024) |
Exp: 0.64
Cons: 0.827091
|
||||
Apple (AAPL)Apple (AAPL)
(Q1-2024) |
Exp: 1.45
Cons: 1.515588
|
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10:45 PM | Mon Policy DecisionMonetary Policy Decision |
|
|||
Apr-26 | |||||
08:30 AM |
PCEPCE
(Mär 24) PCE Price Index Personal Income Personal Spending |
Exp: 0.2
Cons: 0.2
|
Overall Situation |
1
|
|
---|---|---|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Corporate Earnings |
1
|
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
Overall Situation |
1
|
|
---|---|---|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Corporate Earnings |
1
|
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
---|---|---|
Personal Consumption Expenditures |
3
|
|
Private Domestic Investment |
-1
|
|
Global Economic Activity |
-1
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
---|---|---|
Personal Consumption Expenditures |
3
|
|
Private Domestic Investment |
-1
|
|
Global Economic Activity |
-1
|
Corporate Earnings |
1
|
|
---|---|---|
Business Conditions |
1
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
|
Producer Prices |
4
|
|
US Dollar |
4
|
Corporate Earnings |
1
|
|
---|---|---|
Business Conditions |
1
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
|
Producer Prices |
4
|
|
US Dollar |
4
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Inflation |
2
|
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Inflation |
2
|
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Treasury Refunding Announcement |
-7
|
|
Global Demand US Treasuries |
-1
|
|
Save-Haven Effects |
0
|
|
Government Debt |
-7
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Treasury Refunding Announcement |
-7
|
|
Global Demand US Treasuries |
-1
|
|
Save-Haven Effects |
0
|
|
Government Debt |
-7
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Israel vs Hamas |
-2
|
|
Iran vs USA |
-1
|
|
Ukraine vs Russia |
-3
|
|
Taiwan vs China |
-3
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Israel vs Hamas |
-2
|
|
Iran vs USA |
-1
|
|
Ukraine vs Russia |
-3
|
|
Taiwan vs China |
-3
|