S&P 500 Index | |||
---|---|---|---|
Long Term (LT) |
DEFENSIVE
(SINCE: Sep-21) STABLE last checked on Nov-24 |
||
We remain defensive amid economic slowdown Overall Situation 1 .Exit-Conditions (OR): Stop Limit Breach Change of Overall Situation Outlook to or . |
|||
Mid Term (MT) |
SHORT
(SINCE: Jan-26)
STABLE last checked on Jan-26 |
||
Entry-Conditions (AND): Pivotal Week Anticipating Negative Surprise ST Reversal/Sell Signal |
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Short Term (ST) |
SHORT
(SINCE: Jan-26)
STABLE last checked on Jan-26 |
||
Entry-Conditions (AND): Pivotal Week Anticipating Negative Surprise ID Reversal/Sell Signal |
LT | MT | ST | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
S&P 500 Index | ||||
Position | ||||
Entry | Date Level |
Sep-21 @ 4448 |
Jan-26 @ 4920 |
Jan-26 @ 4920 |
Target | Risk/Ret Level Date |
-0.1 : 1 3800 Jun-30 |
2.1 : 1 4600 Mar-31 |
2.1:1 4600 Mar-02 |
Exit | Stop Assmt |
None Stable Assumps Still Valid |
5070 Review |
5070 Review |
MT | ST | ||
---|---|---|---|
S&P 500 Index | |||
Pattern | Falling Opening Wedge | Rising Flag | |
Indicators | |||
Directionality |
-4
|
||
Trend |
-5
|
||
Momentum |
-5
|
||
Rel Strength |
-1
|
||
Internals | |||
OnBalance Vol |
1
|
3
|
|
Adv / Decl |
0
|
7
|
|
Accu / Dist |
1
|
5
|
|
Support | 4360 |
4415
4360 |
|
Resistance |
4615
4635 |
4600
4615 |
|
Correlations | |||
10Y TN |
0
|
||
USDJPY |
0
|
||
Crude Oil |
0
|
||
Copper |
0
|
Weekly Outlook & Perspective |
iCal |
EST | Event | Rel | Forecasts & Impact | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Allday | |||||
Israel vs Hamas |
|||||
Apr-15 | |||||
08:30 AM |
NY Empire IdxNY Empire State Manufacturing Index
(Apr 24) |
Exp: -9.3
Cons: -6.4
|
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Retail SalesRetail Sales
(Mär 24) |
Exp: 1.0
Cons: 1.0
|
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02:00 PM | Electricity PricesElectricity Prices |
|
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Apr-16 | |||||
United Health (UNH)United Health (UNH) |
|
||||
Goldman Sachs (GS)Goldman Sachs (GS)
(Q1-2024) |
Exp: 3.87
Cons: 3.62
|
||||
08:30 AM |
New Residential ConstrNew Residential Construction
Building Permits Housing Starts |
|
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09:15 AM |
Industrial ProductionIndustrial Production
(Mär 24) |
Exp: -2.0
Cons: 3.0
|
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Netflix (NFLX)Netflix (NFLX) |
|
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Apr-17 | |||||
02:00 PM | Beige BookBeige Book |
|
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04:00 PM |
TIC Long-Term PurchasesTIC Long-Term Purchases
TLT Total TLT China TLT Japan |
Exp: 9.6
Cons: 9.6
|
|||
Tesla (TSLA)Tesla (TSLA)
(Q1-2024) |
Exp: 2.15
Cons: 0.671525
|
||||
Apr-18 | |||||
08:30 AM | Jobless ClaimsJobless Claims |
|
|||
10:00 AM |
Existing Home SalesExisting Home Sales
(Mär 24) |
Exp: 3.85
Cons: 3.9
|
Overall Situation |
1
|
|
---|---|---|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Corporate Earnings |
1
|
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
Overall Situation |
1
|
|
---|---|---|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Corporate Earnings |
1
|
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
---|---|---|
Personal Consumption Expenditures |
3
|
|
Private Domestic Investment |
-1
|
|
Global Economic Activity |
-1
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
---|---|---|
Personal Consumption Expenditures |
3
|
|
Private Domestic Investment |
-1
|
|
Global Economic Activity |
-1
|
Corporate Earnings |
1
|
|
---|---|---|
Business Conditions |
1
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
|
Producer Prices |
4
|
|
US Dollar |
4
|
Corporate Earnings |
1
|
|
---|---|---|
Business Conditions |
1
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
|
Producer Prices |
4
|
|
US Dollar |
4
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Inflation |
2
|
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Inflation |
2
|
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Treasury Refunding Announcement |
-7
|
|
Global Demand US Treasuries |
-1
|
|
Save-Haven Effects |
0
|
|
Government Debt |
-7
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Treasury Refunding Announcement |
-7
|
|
Global Demand US Treasuries |
-1
|
|
Save-Haven Effects |
0
|
|
Government Debt |
-7
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Israel vs Hamas |
-2
|
|
Iran vs USA |
-1
|
|
Ukraine vs Russia |
-3
|
|
Taiwan vs China |
-3
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Israel vs Hamas |
-2
|
|
Iran vs USA |
-1
|
|
Ukraine vs Russia |
-3
|
|
Taiwan vs China |
-3
|