S&P 500 Index | |||
---|---|---|---|
Long Term (LT) |
DEFENSIVE
(SINCE: Sep-21) STABLE last checked on Nov-24 |
||
We remain defensive amid economic slowdown Overall Situation 0 .Exit-Conditions (OR): Stop Limit Breach Change of Overall Situation Outlook to or . |
|||
Mid Term (MT) |
SHORT
(SINCE: Jan-26)
STABLE last checked on Jan-26 |
||
Entry-Conditions (AND): Pivotal Week Anticipating Negative Surprise ST Reversal/Sell Signal |
|||
Short Term (ST) |
SHORT
(SINCE: Jan-26)
STABLE last checked on Jan-26 |
||
Entry-Conditions (AND): Pivotal Week Anticipating Negative Surprise ID Reversal/Sell Signal |
LT | MT | ST | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
S&P 500 Index | ||||
Position | ||||
Entry | Date Level |
Sep-21 @ 4448 |
Jan-26 @ 4920 |
Jan-26 @ 4920 |
Target | Risk/Ret Level Date |
-0.1 : 1 3800 Jun-30 |
2.1 : 1 4600 Mar-31 |
2.1:1 4600 Mar-02 |
Exit | Stop Assmt |
None Stable Assumps Still Valid |
5070 Review |
5070 Review |
MT | ST | ||
---|---|---|---|
S&P 500 Index | |||
Pattern | Falling Opening Wedge | Rising Flag | |
Indicators | |||
Directionality |
-4
|
-2
|
|
Trend |
1
|
-1
|
|
Momentum |
1
|
-1
|
|
Rel Strength |
3
|
0
|
|
Internals | |||
OnBalance Vol |
1
|
3
|
|
Adv / Decl |
0
|
7
|
|
Accu / Dist |
1
|
5
|
|
Support | 4360 |
4415
4360 |
|
Resistance |
4615
4635 |
4600
4615 |
|
Correlations | |||
10Y TN |
8
|
3
|
|
USDJPY |
-9
|
-3
|
|
Crude Oil |
6
|
6
|
|
Copper |
0
|
2
|
Weekly Outlook & Perspective |
iCal |
EST | Event | Rel | Forecasts & Impact | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Allday | |||||
Israel vs Hamas |
|||||
Mar-25 | |||||
11:00 AM |
New Home SalesNew Home Sales
(Mär 24) |
Exp: -1.7
Cons: -1.2
|
|||
Mar-26 | |||||
09:30 AM |
Durable GoodsDurable Goods
(Feb 24) |
Exp: 0.1
Cons: 0.2
|
|||
10:00 AM |
CS Home Price IdxCS Home Price Idx
(Feb 24) |
Exp: 5.7
Cons: 5.8
|
|||
11:00 AM |
CB Consumer ConfCB Consumer Conf
(Jan 00) |
Exp: 102.0
Cons: 101.0
|
|||
Richmont Mfct IdxRichmond Manufacturing Index
(Jan 00) |
Exp: -9.3
Cons: -6.4
|
||||
Mar-28 | |||||
09:30 AM | Jobless ClaimsJobless Claims |
|
|||
10:45 AM | Chicago PMIChicago PMI |
|
|||
11:00 AM |
Pending Home SalesPending Home Sales
(Feb 24) |
Exp: -1.7
Cons: -1.2
|
|||
09:30 PM |
PMI ManufactPMI Manufacturing
(Jan 22) |
Exp: 49.4
Cons: 49.6
|
|||
PMI ServicesPMI Services
(Jan 22) |
Exp: 50.7
Cons: 51.1
|
||||
Mar-29 | |||||
09:30 AM |
PCEPCE
(Feb 24) PCE Price Index Personal Income Personal Spending |
Exp: 0.2
Cons: 0.2
|
Overall Situation |
0
|
|
---|---|---|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Corporate Earnings |
0
|
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
Overall Situation |
0
|
|
---|---|---|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Corporate Earnings |
0
|
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
---|---|---|
Personal Consumption Expenditures |
3
|
|
Private Domestic Investment |
-1
|
|
Global Economic Activity |
-1
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
---|---|---|
Personal Consumption Expenditures |
3
|
|
Private Domestic Investment |
-1
|
|
Global Economic Activity |
-1
|
Corporate Earnings |
0
|
|
---|---|---|
Business Conditions |
1
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
|
Producer Prices |
4
|
|
US Dollar |
4
|
Corporate Earnings |
0
|
|
---|---|---|
Business Conditions |
1
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
|
Producer Prices |
4
|
|
US Dollar |
4
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Inflation |
2
|
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Inflation |
2
|
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Treasury Refunding Announcement |
-7
|
|
Global Demand US Treasuries |
-1
|
|
Save-Haven Effects |
0
|
|
Government Debt |
-7
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Treasury Refunding Announcement |
-7
|
|
Global Demand US Treasuries |
-1
|
|
Save-Haven Effects |
0
|
|
Government Debt |
-7
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Israel vs Hamas |
-2
|
|
Iran vs USA |
-1
|
|
Ukraine vs Russia |
-3
|
|
Taiwan vs China |
-3
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Israel vs Hamas |
-2
|
|
Iran vs USA |
-1
|
|
Ukraine vs Russia |
-3
|
|
Taiwan vs China |
-3
|