DJI
44579.00
-47.00 -0.11%
01:00 PM EST
SPX
6137.75
+5.00 +0.08%
12:00 AM EST
NDQ
22203.75
+2.25 +0.01%
12:00 AM EST
TN10
109.2031
-0.0625 -0.06%
12:00 AM EST
TN02
102.7578
+0.0039 +0.00%
12:00 AM EST
CL
71.44
+1.22 +1.74%
01:00 PM EST
DXY
107.09
+0.25 +0.23%
12:30 PM EST
EURUSD
1.0440
-0.0053 -0.50%
01:00 PM EST
GBPUSD
1.2899
+0.0315 +2.51%
11:00 PM EDT
USDJPY
151.3470
-0.9830 -0.65%
07:00 PM EST
USDCHF
0.9006
+0.0007 +0.08%
07:00 PM EST
USDCAD
1.4186
+0.0001 +0.00%
07:00 PM EST
AUDUSD
0.6346
-0.0010 -0.15%
01:00 PM EST
BTC
94035.43
-2152.46 -2.24%
01:00 PM EST
ETH
2622.22
-42.52 -1.60%
01:00 PM EST
S5COM
371.67
+1.52 +0.41%
12:00 AM EST
Actionables
S&P 500 Index
 Long Term (LT) DEFENSIVE  (SINCE: Sep-21)
STABLE last checked on Nov-24
We remain defensive amid economic slowdown Overall Situation
1
 .

Exit-Conditions (OR):
Stop Limit Breach
Change of Overall Situation Outlook to or .
 Mid Term (MT) SHORT  (SINCE: Jan-26)
STABLE last checked on Jan-26


Entry-Conditions (AND):
Pivotal Week Anticipating Negative Surprise
ST Reversal/Sell Signal
 Short Term (ST) SHORT    (SINCE: Jan-26)
STABLE last checked on Jan-26


Entry-Conditions (AND):
Pivotal Week Anticipating Negative Surprise
ID Reversal/Sell Signal
Positioning Stance
LT MT ST
S&P 500 Index
 Position
 Entry Date
Level		 Sep-21
@ 4448 		Jan-26
@ 4920 		Jan-26
@ 4920
 Target Risk/Ret
Level
Date		 -0.1 : 1
3800
Jun-30 		2.1 : 1
4600
Mar-31 		2.1:1
4600
Mar-02
 Exit Stop
Assmt
 None
Stable
Assumps Still Valid 		5070
Review 		5070
Review
Market Technicals
MT ST
S&P 500 Index
Pattern Falling Opening Wedge Rising Flag
Indicators
  Directionality
  Trend
  Momentum
  Rel Strength
Internals
  OnBalance Vol
  Adv / Decl
  Accu / Dist
Support
Resistance
Correlations
  10Y TN
  USDJPY
  Crude Oil
  Copper
Weekly Outlook & Perspective
 iCal
EST Event Rel Forecasts & Impact
Allday
Israel vs Hamas
Israel vs Hamas
Israel vs Hamas
Israel vs Hamas
Israel vs Hamas
Israel vs Hamas
Jun-23
03:45 PM PMI ManufacturingPMI Manufacturing
(Mai 25)
PMI ServicesPMI Services
(Mai 25)
04:00 PM Existing Home SalesExisting Home Sales
(Mai 25)
Jun-24
04:00 PM CB Consumer ConfCB Consumer Conf
(Mai 25)
Richmond Manufacturing IndexRichmond Manufacturing Index
(Jun 25)
Jun-25
04:00 PM New Home SalesNew Home Sales
(Apr 25)
Jun-26
02:30 PM Durable GoodsDurable Goods
(Apr 25)
Jobless ClaimsJobless Claims
Jun-27
02:30 PM PCEPCE  
(Apr 25)
  PCE Price Index
Overall Situation
The Overall Situation
1
  still presents itself very mixed. We remain rather sceptical about the future outlook.
Monetary Policy
-3
  remains restrictive with quanititative tightening ongoing at regular pace. We think that markets are too optimistic in their forward rate cut expectations. At least in the near future we expect continuously mixed signals in terms of Inflation and Aggregate Demand. Which means, that rates could well go higher again, before we see some recessionary rate cuts.
updated: Nov-26 12:00 AM
Overall Situation
1
  
Aggregate Demand
2
  
Corporate Earnings
2
  
Monetary Policy
-3
  
Government Bonds
-2
  
Geopolitical Situation
-2
  
Overall Situation
1
  
Aggregate Demand
2
  
Corporate Earnings
2
  
Monetary Policy
-3
  
Government Bonds
-2
  
Geopolitical Situation
-2
  
The Overall Situation
1
  still presents itself very mixed. We remain rather sceptical about the future outlook.
Monetary Policy
-3
  remains restrictive with quanititative tightening ongoing at regular pace. We think that markets are too optimistic in their forward rate cut expectations. At least in the near future we expect continuously mixed signals in terms of Inflation and Aggregate Demand. Which means, that rates could well go higher again, before we see some recessionary rate cuts.
updated: Nov-26 12:00 AM
Features Outlook
  • Assumptions About Key Market Driving Forces And Their Motivations (Mid- & Longterm)
  • Yield Curve Related Analysis
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