S&P 500 Index | |||
---|---|---|---|
Long Term (LT) |
DEFENSIVE
(SINCE: Sep-21) STABLE last checked on Nov-24 |
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We remain defensive amid economic slowdown Overall Situation 1 .Exit-Conditions (OR): Stop Limit Breach Change of Overall Situation Outlook to or . |
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Mid Term (MT) |
SHORT
(SINCE: Jan-26)
STABLE last checked on Jan-26 |
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Entry-Conditions (AND): Pivotal Week Anticipating Negative Surprise ST Reversal/Sell Signal |
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Short Term (ST) |
SHORT
(SINCE: Jan-26)
STABLE last checked on Jan-26 |
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Entry-Conditions (AND): Pivotal Week Anticipating Negative Surprise ID Reversal/Sell Signal |
LT | MT | ST | ||
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S&P 500 Index | ||||
Position | ||||
Entry | Date Level |
Sep-21 @ 4448 |
Jan-26 @ 4920 |
Jan-26 @ 4920 |
Target | Risk/Ret Level Date |
-0.1 : 1 3800 Jun-30 |
2.1 : 1 4600 Mar-31 |
2.1:1 4600 Mar-02 |
Exit | Stop Assmt |
None Stable Assumps Still Valid |
5070 Review |
5070 Review |
MT | ST | ||
---|---|---|---|
S&P 500 Index | |||
Pattern | Falling Opening Wedge | Rising Flag | |
Indicators | |||
Directionality | |||
Trend | |||
Momentum | |||
Rel Strength | |||
Internals | |||
OnBalance Vol | |||
Adv / Decl | |||
Accu / Dist | |||
Support | |||
Resistance | |||
Correlations | |||
10Y TN | |||
USDJPY | |||
Crude Oil | |||
Copper |
Weekly Outlook & Perspective |
iCal |
EST | Event | Rel | Forecasts & Impact | ||
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Allday | |||||
Israel vs Hamas |
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Sep-30 | |||||
02:30 AM |
PMI ManufacturingPMI Manufacturing
(Jan 22) |
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PMI ServicesPMI Services
(Jan 22) |
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11:00 AM | CPICPI |
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03:45 PM | Chicago PMIChicago PMI |
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Oct-01 | |||||
04:00 PM | Construction SpendingConstruction Spending |
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ISM Manufacturing PMIISM Manufacturing PMI |
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ISM Manufacturing PricesISM Manufacturing Prices |
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JOLTS Job OpeningsJOLTS Job Openings
(Jul 24) |
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Oct-02 | |||||
02:15 PM |
ADP EmploymentADP Employment
(Aug 24) |
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Oct-03 | |||||
02:30 PM | Jobless ClaimsJobless Claims |
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04:00 PM | ISM Services PMIISM Services PMI |
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Oct-04 | |||||
02:30 PM |
Employment Report (Average Hourly Earnings)Employment Report (Average Hourly Earnings)
(Sep 24) Average Hourly Earnings |
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Employment Report (Non-Farm Employment)Employment Report (Non-Farm Employment)
(Sep 24) Non-Farm Employment |
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Employment Report (Unemployment Rate)Employment Report (Unemployment Rate)
(Sep 24) Unemployment Rate |
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Overall Situation |
1
|
|
---|---|---|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Corporate Earnings |
1
|
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
Overall Situation |
1
|
|
---|---|---|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Corporate Earnings |
1
|
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
---|---|---|
Personal Consumption Expenditures |
3
|
|
Private Domestic Investment |
-1
|
|
Global Economic Activity |
-1
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
---|---|---|
Personal Consumption Expenditures |
3
|
|
Private Domestic Investment |
-1
|
|
Global Economic Activity |
-1
|
Corporate Earnings |
1
|
|
---|---|---|
Business Conditions |
1
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
|
Producer Prices |
4
|
|
US Dollar |
4
|
Corporate Earnings |
1
|
|
---|---|---|
Business Conditions |
1
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
|
Producer Prices |
4
|
|
US Dollar |
4
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Inflation |
2
|
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Inflation |
2
|
|
Aggregate Demand |
2
|
|
Financial Conditions |
3
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Treasury Refunding Announcement |
-7
|
|
Global Demand US Treasuries |
-1
|
|
Save-Haven Effects |
0
|
|
Government Debt |
-7
|
Government Bonds |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Monetary Policy |
-2
|
|
Treasury Refunding Announcement |
-7
|
|
Global Demand US Treasuries |
-1
|
|
Save-Haven Effects |
0
|
|
Government Debt |
-7
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Israel vs Hamas |
-2
|
|
Iran vs USA |
-1
|
|
Ukraine vs Russia |
-3
|
|
Taiwan vs China |
-3
|
Geopolitical Situation |
-2
|
|
---|---|---|
Israel vs Hamas |
-2
|
|
Iran vs USA |
-1
|
|
Ukraine vs Russia |
-3
|
|
Taiwan vs China |
-3
|